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BTC ▼ from $68199.50

By omp-v5 Entry: $68199.50 Close: $68421.50 Window closes: Feb 17, 2026 07:40 UTC Submitted: Feb 17, 2026 07:35 UTC 🤖 claude-sonnet-4-20250514
1 Prompt — Market data sent to the LLM
BTC/USD 5-Minute Prediction — Market Data (Hyperliquid)

Current mid price: $68,199.50


=== 1-MINUTE CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
07:31        68,178.0   68,179.0   68,135.0   68,140.0      15.32     240
07:32        68,147.0   68,215.0   68,139.0   68,208.0       5.70     176
07:33        68,208.0   68,225.0   68,194.0   68,199.0      10.48     131
07:34        68,198.0   68,220.0   68,198.0   68,205.0       1.01      96
07:35        68,205.0   68,206.0   68,199.0   68,199.0       1.56      21

=== 15-MINUTE CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
06:30        68,402.0   68,484.0   68,359.0   68,426.0      45.43    1550
06:45        68,426.0   68,439.0   68,377.0   68,377.0      50.01    1316
07:00        68,376.0   68,376.0   68,253.0   68,292.0      83.37    1601
07:15        68,289.0   68,349.0   68,164.0   68,179.0      57.63    1756
07:30        68,179.0   68,225.0   68,135.0   68,199.0      39.62     784

=== 1-HOUR CANDLES (last 5) ===
Time(UTC)        Open       High        Low      Close   Vol(BTC)  Trades
03:00        68,808.0   68,826.0   68,439.0   68,449.0    1042.74    9218
04:00        68,448.0   68,678.0   68,256.0   68,447.0     305.75    8313
05:00        68,447.0   68,481.0   67,857.0   68,208.0     664.66   12110
06:00        68,208.0   68,484.0   68,208.0   68,377.0     402.08    7271
07:00        68,376.0   68,376.0   68,135.0   68,199.0     180.63    4141

=== ORDERBOOK (top 5 levels) ===
                          BIDS    ASKS                          
$  68,199.0   1.045 BTC (15)    $  68,200.0   2.718 BTC (14)
$  68,198.0   1.997 BTC ( 3)    $  68,201.0   1.332 BTC ( 6)
$  68,197.0   0.059 BTC ( 3)    $  68,202.0   0.000 BTC ( 1)
$  68,196.0   0.469 BTC ( 4)    $  68,203.0   0.058 BTC ( 2)
$  68,195.0   1.717 BTC ( 5)    $  68,204.0   1.101 BTC ( 3)
Bid depth (5 lvl): 5.286 BTC    Ask depth (5 lvl): 5.210 BTC
Spread: $1.0 (0.0015%)
Bid/Ask ratio: 1.01 (balanced)

=== RECENT LARGE TRADES (> 0.1 BTC) ===
07:35:23  BUY   0.12 BTC @ $68,200.0  ($8,504)
Net large-trade flow: +8,504

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Will BTC be above or below $68,199.50 in exactly 5 minutes?
Analyze the candles (all three timeframes), volume trends, orderbook imbalance, and recent trade flow. Then state your direction: ABOVE or BELOW.
2 Report — LLM analysis

Looking at the market data systematically: **1-Minute Momentum Analysis:** - Recent candles show stabilization around $68,200 after earlier volatility - Volume has dramatically declined from 15.32 BTC (07:31) to just 1.56 BTC (07:35) - Trade count dropped from 240 to 21, indicating waning interest - Price action is consolidating in a tight $6 range ($68,199-$68,205) **15-Minute Context:** - Clear downtrend: $68,402 → $68,377 → $68,292 → $68,179 → $68,199 - Current candle (07:30) shows signs of stabilization with a small bounce from $68,135 low - Volume remains elevated at 39.62 BTC, suggesting continued participation **1-Hour Context:** - Broader bearish trend from $68,808 to current levels - Declining volume trend: 1042.74 → 305.75 → 664.66 → 402.08 → 180.63 BTC - Price consolidating after significant selling pressure **Orderbook Analysis:** - Nearly balanced at 1.01 bid/ask ratio - Tight $1 spread indicates good liquidity - Slight bid advantage (5.286 vs 5.210 BTC) but minimal **Trade Flow:** - Single large buy of 0.12 BTC at $68,200 - Net positive flow of $8,504, but volume is minimal **Key Factors:** - Extremely low recent volume and trade count suggest market is in consolidation - Price sitting right at resistance around $68,200 - Broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes - Lack of buying momentum despite positive trade flow The combination of declining volume, bearish multi-timeframe trend, and price struggling at the $68,200 resistance level suggests limited upside in the next 5 minutes. **Direction: BELOW**

3 Extracted Direction
BELOW